Coronavirus Update

Part 1 - Prepared By Dr. Howard Topoff


SUMMARY OF LOCAL REPORTED CASES (November 30, 2020)


Portal:0 Rodeo:1 Animas:11 Douglas:1733 (Active:671)
Lordsburg:174

ARIZONA - November 30, 2020


The Arizona Poison & Drug Information Center Is Available To Take Calls From Arizona Providers & The General Public:1-844-542-8201


Cochise County:3748 (1438 Active)

Zip Code 85632: 22 (1- 5 Active)


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Deaths By County Due To Covid-19

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NEW MEXICO - November 30, 2020

Coronavirus Hot Line: 1-855-600-3453

The state is offering help to New Mexico seniors. The Aging and Long Term Services Department says if you’re a senior or a disabled adult who cannot access groceries to call the number 1-800-432-2080 due to the coronavirus.

Leave a message with your name, telephone number, and the city/town you reside in. Aging and Long Term Services will be in contact with you within 2 hours of your call if not sooner.

181 Cases In Hidalgo County

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November 19, 2020

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States With The Most Covid-19 Cases

November 30, 2020

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Countries With The Most Covid-19 Cases

November 30, 2020

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Part 2 - Prepared By Dr. Eskild Petersen




Update 11/30/20 11 AM

Data tables and graphs are updated M, W, F. Cochise and Hidalgo County section includes data on active infections as of 11/30/20 (updated M, F)


America’s top infectious-disease expert sounded the alarm Sunday, warning of a “surge superimposed upon” a surge ofcoronaviruscases over the coming weeks due to Thanksgiving travel and celebrations.

For most of the epidemic in US we have followed Murphy’s Law.


The vaccines will make a big difference in the spring and the summer; they're not going to make a difference right now.

We're soon going to exceed well more than 2,000 deaths, maybe 3,000, 4,000 deaths every single day here in the US.



Local news

At home in Portal and Rodeo we have so far been spared with only 1 documented (and several rumored) case in Rodeo. This could soon change as cases are increasing rapidly in areas right next to us- Lordsburg, Douglas and Willcox.


In the last week we have had 5 new cases OF COVID-19 IN ZIP CODE 85632 and 14 new cases in Hidalgo County



11/23/20

11/27/20

11/30/20



Hidalgo County:

Lordsburg is the trouble area with several new cases daily.

The threat of Covid-19 spreading in our communities is growing.


You can make it less likely by following common sense when interacting with other people: outside is better than inside, no crowd is better than crowd, crowd is better than large crowd, observe social distancing and use a mask.




Explosive Growth of Virus Is Recorded Across the U.S.


The country has recorded 200,000 new cases a day and has set a hospitalization record with over 90,000. Deaths are rising rapidly, and hospitals are struggling to cope. Mobile morgues are now used in certain cities.


On 11/19/20 81,000 were hospitalized. A new record.


For the foreseeable future, each day in the United States will bring a new COVID-19 record. November ushered in its first day with 100,000 new cases...then 120,000…then 160,000…then 180,000…then 200,000. The third surge brings a mixture ofsorrow and numbness that must be overcomewithbetter adherence to health guidanceif the nation wants to give itself the holiday gift of a case decline.



https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-51235105?intlink_from_url=https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/coronavirus&link_location=live-reporting-story






There is some good news:

There are now 3 vaccines that are showing great promise - 95% effective. Pfizer vaccine works in older people -94% effective here.

AstraZeneca effective in elderly as well.


The “Pfizer” COVID-19 vaccine was mainly developed by a German Company BioNTech with clinical trials, distribution and regulatory help from Pfizer in the US and Fosun in China. BioNTech is founded by 2 Turkish German scientist.


The Covid vaccine developed by Moderna and NIH shows a similar nearly 95% protection.

The results come hot on the heels of similar results from Pfizer and add to growing confidence that vaccines can help end the pandemic.

Both companies used a highly innovative and experimental approach to designing their vaccines.


Both the Pfizer and the Moderna vaccines are mRNA vaccines:


The AstraZeneca vaccine uses a chimpanzee adenovirus.






State of the epidemic in US:


Welcome to the new abnormal. America's disastrous COVID response based on politics-first and disregarding any science has made us reach milestone after milestone. We have 13 million cases and 263,000 reported deaths from the coronavirus pandemic. We continue to have the highest caseload and number of deaths in the world by far.


The global picture is also grim with a total confirmed cases reaching 59 million and over 1.4 million deaths.


Nearly every country has struggled and made mistakes, but the U.S. is in a class by itself and the only affluent nation to have suffered a severe, sustained outbreak for so long. It is a national disgrace.



Data for Arizona and New Mexico with emphasis on Cochise and Hidalgo Counties








https://covidactnow



Cochise County, AZ

Cochise County is doing better than most of Arizona. Douglas and Willcox are areas to keep an eye on.




https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/arizona-coronavirus-cases.html


New Mexico Data:









Hidalgo County.

Hidalgo County had6 new cases in last week











Metrics for comparing AZ to NM

In the beginning New Mexico handled the epidemic much better than Arizona. Unfortunately, New Mexico now is catching up.






  1. US Data

Hospitalizations, cases and deaths are surging out of control. The epidemic has now shifted to the Midwest and rural areas.










https://www.theguardian.com/world/ng-interactive/2020/jul/15/covid-19-coronavirus-us-map-latest-cases-state-by-state


There is a marked racial/ethnic difference in both cases and death

The toll of the virus in the United States has fallen disproportionately on poorer people and groups that have long suffered discrimination. Black and Latino residents of the United States have contracted the virus atmuch higher ratesthan white residents.



https://covidtracking.com/data/charts/us-all-key-metrics



Coronavirus hospitalizations are at an all-time high and deaths are very high.












How do we compare to other countries? Not good!

Comparisons of US versus Germany, UK and Canada

We have now passed the UK in the number per 100,000 population that was killed by the virus. Not where we should be.






https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/world/mapping-spread-new-coronavirus/





  1. What can we do to prevent Covid-19 from spreading?

At the heart of dismal U.S. coronavirus response, a fraught relationship with masks

If it’s not blatantly obvious, masks are the linchpin in both preventing you from spreading coronavirus and preventing you from getting COVID-19


Face masks are not political statements but sound public health measures.

More than 100 countries in the world require masks in public because they endorse masks as effective in preventing COVID-19










COVID-19 is not just a respiratory infection but a systemic infectious disease. It infects lungs, blood, heart, liver, kidney and intestinal tract. People die mainly from respiratory failure, but many deaths are caused from heart involvement. Diabetes, obesity, chronic lung disease, hypertension and cardiovascular disease are risk factors for severe disease. All ages get Covid-19 but the severity and mortality are higher in age 65 and older.


What are the treatments available for Covid-19

There are three broad approaches being investigated:

  • Antiviral drugs that directly affect the coronavirus's ability to thrive inside the body
  • Drugs that can calm the immune system - patients become seriously ill when their immune system overreacts and starts causing collateral damage to the body
  • Antibodies, either from survivors' blood or made in a lab, that can attack the virus


Coronavirus Treatment


The New York Times has an excellent site for tracking drug treatments

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/science/coronavirus-drugs-treatments.html


There is no cure yet for Covid-19. And even the most promising treatments to date only help certain groups of patients and await validation from further trials. The F.D.A. has not fully licensed any treatment specifically for the coronavirus. Although it has grantedemergency use authorizationto some treatments, their effectiveness against Covid-19 has yet to be demonstrated in large-scale, randomized clinical trials.

We will update and expand the list as new evidence emerges. For details on evaluating treatments, see theN.I.H. Covid-19 Treatment Guidelines. For the current status of vaccine development, see ourCoronavirus Vaccine Tracker


The New York Times also has an excellent site for tracking vaccine development

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/science/coronavirus-vaccine-tracker.html





Our Post Offices are essential to us. Please be extremely careful when you pick up mail- wear a mask. Be nice to our postmasters and follow their instructions.

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How To Wash Your Hands

It's generally best to wash your hands with soap and water. Over-the-counter antibacterial soaps are no more effective at killing germs than is regular soap.

Follow these steps:

  • Wet your hands with clean, running water — either warm or cold.
  • Apply soap and lather well.
  • Rub your hands vigorously for at least 20 seconds. Remember to scrub all surfaces, including the backs of your hands, wrists, between your fingers and under your fingernails.
  • Rinse well.
  • Dry your hands with a clean towel or air-dry them.

How To Use An Alcohol-Based Hand Sanitizer

Alcohol-based hand sanitizers, which don't require water, are an acceptable alternative when soap and water aren't available. If you use a hand sanitizer, make sure the product contains at least 60% alcohol. Follow these steps:

  • Apply the gel product to the palm of one hand. Check the label to find out the appropriate amount.
  • Rub your hands together.
  • Rub the gel over all the surfaces of your hands and fingers until your hands are dry.
Howard Topoff 2011